Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020996 0.022567 0.024199 0.026023 0.028007 0.030100 0.032479
2026-01-18 0.018397 0.020659 0.023130 0.026036 0.029367 0.033078 0.037536
2026-01-25 0.016760 0.019440 0.022478 0.026189 0.030620 0.035763 0.042216
2026-02-01 0.015327 0.018240 0.021640 0.025925 0.031210 0.037556 0.045810
2026-02-08 0.014100 0.017144 0.020788 0.025501 0.031479 0.038869 0.048786
2026-02-15 0.013188 0.016344 0.020206 0.025318 0.031968 0.040408 0.052064
2026-02-22 0.012367 0.015589 0.019610 0.025045 0.032278 0.041682 0.055010
2026-03-01 0.011686 0.014961 0.019122 0.024858 0.032653 0.043016 0.058069
2026-03-08 0.011082 0.014393 0.018670 0.024672 0.032990 0.044284 0.061071
2026-03-15 0.010633 0.013999 0.018418 0.024725 0.033635 0.045980 0.064749
2026-03-22 0.010165 0.013552 0.018064 0.024608 0.034017 0.047303 0.067934
2026-03-29 0.009762 0.013172 0.017777 0.024560 0.034478 0.048742 0.071353
2026-04-05 0.009401 0.012845 0.017568 0.024638 0.035164 0.050606 0.075634
2026-04-12 0.009043 0.012509 0.017330 0.024662 0.035774 0.052395 0.079931
2026-04-19 0.008751 0.012250 0.017185 0.024808 0.036566 0.054491 0.084842
2026-04-26 0.008366 0.011836 0.016794 0.024560 0.036728 0.055604 0.088209
2026-05-03 0.007967 0.011385 0.016324 0.024161 0.036624 0.056276 0.090865
2026-05-10 0.007658 0.011051 0.016013 0.023989 0.036862 0.057497 0.094515
2026-05-17 0.007348 0.010703 0.015662 0.023733 0.036944 0.058455 0.097753
2026-05-24 0.007078 0.010403 0.015372 0.023557 0.037140 0.059603 0.101389
2026-05-31 0.006825 0.010119 0.015093 0.023382 0.037324 0.060730 0.105047
2026-06-07 0.006640 0.009933 0.014958 0.023432 0.037883 0.062525 0.110044
2026-06-14 0.006430 0.009697 0.014733 0.023322 0.038159 0.063830 0.114197